Are Senate Election Outcomes Predictable?
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Predicting the 2011 Dutch Senate Election Results with Twitter
To what extend can one use Twitter in opinion polls for political elections? Merely counting Twitter messages mentioning political party names is no guarantee for obtaining good election predictions. By improving the quality of the document collection and by performing sentiment analysis, predictions based on entity counts in tweets can be considerably improved, and become nearly as good as tra...
متن کاملPriming the Vote: Campaign Effects in a U.S. Senate Election
A growing body of evidence suggests that campaigns affect voters by priming the criteria on which voters base their decisions. Yet virtually all of this work uses simulated campaign rhetoric and/or relies on indirect measures of vote choice. This paper combines a content analysis of media campaign coverage with an Election Day exit poll to explore the impact of a real-world campaign—the 2000 ca...
متن کاملInterspecific interactions through 2 million years: are competitive outcomes predictable?
Ecological interactions affect the survival and reproduction of individuals. However, ecological interactions are notoriously difficult to measure in extinct populations, hindering our understanding of how the outcomes of interactions such as competition vary in time and influence long-term evolutionary changes. Here, the outcomes of spatial competition in a temporally continuous community over...
متن کاملAre Emojis Predictable?
Emojis are ideograms which are naturally combined with plain text to visually complement or condense the meaning of a message. Despite being widely used in social media, their underlying semantics have received little attention from a Natural Language Processing standpoint. In this paper, we investigate the relation between words and emojis, studying the novel task of predicting which emojis ar...
متن کاملAre financial crashes predictable?
– We critically review recent claims that financial crashes can be predicted using the idea of log-periodic oscillations or by other methods inspired by the physics of critical phenomena. In particular, the October 1997 “correction” does not appear to be the accumulation point of a geometric series of local minima. It is rather tempting to see financial crashes as the analogue of critical point...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: PS: Political Science & Politics
سال: 1985
ISSN: 1049-0965,1537-5935
DOI: 10.1017/s1049096500022678